Friday, September 12, 2008
Paul Hackett ran for the US House in 2006 and lost; in 2008, he was set to be the Downers' candidate for the US Senate, but he pulled out because he realized that being a Downer means admitting you are delusional.
Hackett now says that Obama is losing in Ohio - and in fact he is 5 points lower in the polls than the polls are showing, mainly because Obama is running a crummy race and because of alleged racism.
But then check out Hackett's prescription for Obama to win Ohio: Destroy Sarah Palin. With smears. With innuendo. With lies.
In short, the Downercrat way of doing business.
Obama is losing Ohio
Obama is losing Ohio and contrary to Mr. Plouffe’s assertion that Obama can win without Ohio history indicates otherwise.
There are at least three issues that lead me to believe that the Obama campaign does not grasp the situation in Ohio.
No organized presence in Southern Ohio
No attack strategy against Palin/McCain coupled with a lack of defense of the Obama central theme of change.
If one believes the polling in Ohio Obama is in a neck and neck race with Palin/McCain to win the state. Additionally it must be remembered that Obama has yet to win over the support of middle of the road Ohioans or solidify the support of Hillary Clinton’s constituents post primary. Recall that Obama was handily beaten by Clinton in the Ohio primary.
While the polling is close I believe it is far worse than the numbers reflect given social apprehension of middle of the road uncommitted respondents to appear racist by not supporting Obama. There has been much speculation across America regarding this phenomenon and as such can impact the accuracy of polling by at least 5 points. Thus instead of being down in Ohio by 3 or 4 points I would argue that for planning purposes the working assumption should indicate that Obama is down in Ohio by roughly 10 points. That’s a lot of ground to make up in less than 60 days, and as such there must be an aggressive offense to cover such a distance.
The Obama campaign has no organized presence in Southern Ohio; southern Ohio defined as south of Interstate 70 which runs east west and loosely divides the state in half both geographically and culturally. The Obama campaign’s focus of effort is evident in the traditionally Democratic strongholds of northeast Ohio, the Cleveland area and Mahoning Valley, in addition to Franklin County/Columbus in the center of the state.
Notice that Hackett calls the Republican ticket "Palin/McCain." And why, you ask?
Because Hackett has a plan for Obama to win: smear Sarah Palin with every lie they can come up with, and then some.
The solution rests with local surrogates on the ground spreading the attack face to face coupled with an air campaign via radio and TV.
The message is simple and the professionals can refine it but essentially it should contain these elements:
"Sarah Palin? Can't keep her solemn oath of devotion to her husband and had sex with his employee. Sarah Palin? Accidentally got pregnant at age 43 and the tax payers of Alaska have to pay for the care of her disabled child. Sarah Palin? Unable to teach her 16 year old daughter right from wrong and now another teenager is pregnant. Sarah Palin? Can you trust Sarah Palin and her values with America's future? John McCain? Divorced from his first wife one month and marries a billionaire influence peddler and convicted felon. John McCain, a record of rash and impulsive decisions. That’s not change that’s more of the same.”
And then check out the high fives from Hackett's fellow nutjobs, who agree with him that it is time to win this race for Obama by lying through what is left of their teeth - as if Obama wasn't already employing that strategy.
As Hackett knows, while the wind is at Obama's back when it comes to talking economy to these folks, it is the personal revelations about the candidates which will win hearts and minds. What does it say that her two oldest kids are so out of control? The Obama campaign will have nothing to do with what the Enquirer has already printed about her son's juvenile delinquency and drug abuse, and the revelation that, far from supporting her daughter's pregnancy, she kicked Bristol out of the house. What does that say about Palin, if she can't manage her own family?
Hackett is right - OH looks like it will go to McCain, and we cannot let that happen. Obviously the current strategy isn't producing results.
The personal attacks suggested by Hackett would backfire, IMO, but I'm convinced we need to strip the bark off McCain. Why? Because HRC's primary smears of Obama in states like OH soured the voters on Obama, and he doesn't have time to remake his own image. The only alternative is to fucking destroy McCain's reputation for honor and bravery. Don't like it? Blame the Clintons.
Everything this person says about Palin is true, she's an adulteress, she's neglected the health of her unborn child during pregnancy, she's an absentee mom and her kids run wild having casual sex and doing drugs, and meanwhile she's campaigning as some kind of beacon of morality.
I know the kind of people this person is talking about. believe me, the details of someone's personal life are more important than their policies.
I don't understand why people are so opposed to confronting them and giving them back some of their own medicine?
Finally, we get the greatest gift a liberal can give to America:
I trust Obama, but right about now, I admit I am scared.
And, in the end, the liberal psychos always employ the chief reason why they continue to lose elections: Americans are just stupid hicks who didn't buy their crappola:
The bigots will probably "win" in Ohio. Just as they did last time.
And it's why Michigan is so close.
The notion that this American election was going to somehow transcend our history of race driven political alignments was always a wishful fantasy.
Obama's situation in Ohio has NOTHING to do with HIS "problems." It has to do with the intellectual "problems" of thousands or ignorant, uneducated people voting their own stupidity and bigotry. (Mean Jean Schmidt represents them perfectly.)
Pretending Southern Ohio isn't like Kentucky or Indiana or Tennessee was always a losing conceit.
The only hope for Ohio (and the country?) is that upstate urban areas (outside Cincy) actually show up to vote, and are counted. The rest of the state, like most of America, is a political wasteland. That is not Obama's fault.