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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

McCain Wins in Florida; Joobo Gives Prediction for 2008 Race

John McCain won Florida tonight in a major victory.

Elderly, Moderates Power McCain in Fla

WASHINGTON (AP) - John McCain's support from Republican moderates, Hispanics and Florida's numerous older voters helped lift him to victory in Florida's GOP presidential primary on Tuesday.

Mitt Romney relied on solid backing from conservatives and people troubled by illegal immigration and abortion, but could not persuade voters he was the one to cure the country's economic ills.

In a blow to Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, McCain led among people who said the economy was the country's No. 1 issue, according to results of an exit poll conducted for The Associated Press and the television networks.

As with most other early voting states so far in the campaign, the troubled economy was cited by Florida GOP voters as the top problem. Romney had been flaunting his finance background as the perfect resume to handle declining real estate values, job losses and a plunging stock market, but 40 percent of them supported McCain, 8 percentage points better than Romney. McCain also had a clear lead among people who said the economy was in poor condition, while those who said it was fine flocked to Romney.

Here is Joobo's prediction for the 2008 presidential campaign:

McCain gets the GOP nomination, with Hillary Clinton getting the Downie nod.

McCain wins in a 2-way race, 53%-47%. If Bloomberg and/or Nader gets into the race, the end vote will be McCain 52%-45%, with the others taking 3% of the vote. Any more of a vote for a third and/or fourth party candidate comes out of Hillary Clinton's hide.

So, at the end of January 2008, we predict here that on January 20, 2009, John McCain will be sworn in as the 44th President of the United States.

Further predictions to follow.

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